📚 This is an archive of Aid Thoughts, a development economics blog that was active from 2009 to 2017. Posts are preserved in their original form.

Category: Research

126 posts

Machine learning and the replication struggle

A Checklist for the Modern Development Bureaucrat

Help me test a (very silly) hypothesis by answering a few questions

The limitations of the Absolute Palma Index, in two graphs

The difficulty of getting good feedback

The problem with nudges is that sometimes they don't move things very much

So how do you feel about not winning the lottery?

A randomista for hire is a dangerous thing

The IMF, inequality and the trickle-down of empirical research

I drink your milkshake

LaTeX Wars Episode V: The Word Users Strike Back

Troubling aspirations

The Lynchian Randomization

You just don't get me

When blind is not beautiful

Come work for me in Tanzania (short notice)

I felt a great disturbance in the force

An apple a day means nothing in a complex system

The unbearable lightness of being a dead salmon

Of tribes and titles

On the ethicical approval of RCTs

On day care and large impacts

Too cool for school

In which Roving Bandit and I join forces, for the greater good!

Astonishingly, demand for circumcisions is lower than expected

Almost as awesome as the title suggests

In which your lab experiment might not be entirely representative

On causality and the returns to late marriage

Some more thoughts on land grabs and tricky statistics

Response from Oxfam: Governance, land grabs and tricky statistics

Governance, land grabs and tricky statistics

Angry post about empirical methods and philosophical plumbing

Aid as policy

Ask not what your country can do for you

Random thoughts left lying around

Ropey use of picture editor notwithstanding...

Randomised monkey trials

My God, it's full of stars!

Taking credit

I'll take an evaluation please, but hold the scientists

Sachs the rainmaker

Innocent until proven likely

Replication rite of passage

The temptation of the empirical knockout punch

When an RCT would have been really handy

Why predictions fail

The CSAE Blog

Stay in school, until you learn that correlation ≠ causation

White men can't run experimental games

On happiness

A land registry of their own

The skin I live in

Everything about poverty is relative

But what about the boy effect?

Cash-on-delivery grants in Indonesia

Accountability and the Gates Foundation

Conflict and climate assertions

Open data with minimal context

Hidden in randomness

All bets are off

What Now?

The complexity of happiness

Take that back

Kristof influencing Tabarrok

Sad sentences

The bottom billion bottles of beer on the wall

The perils of payday

Some thoughts on More Than Good Intentions

Dissing Development and Economics, Guardian Edition

Disconcerting statement of the day

Reading is Fundamental

Agricultural productivity, food consumption and Oxfam

Why no trial registry for development interventions?

Food prices and reliable predictions

Sir Humphrey Appleby on the Perils of Survey Design

The external validity double standard

The African and the Millennium Development Goals

What lies beneath

The bane of negative results

Green jelly beans and subsamples

Not so fast: food prices and riots

A mine of data

The elusive primary source

Ghanaian health care cage match

The MVP debate happens

Guardians of a critical culture

Insert title here

Weighing the dimensions of poverty

Health spending, suggestive studies and the IMF's guilt-by-association

Some thoughts for the year

The Proven Mean Initiative (external validity edition)

Research error and the reliability of big reports

Will the real bottom billion please stand up?

The holy grail of infinite cost effectiveness

In Today’s Language: “Dudes, WTF? STFU and let me do my job!”

The survey manager's guide to getting the most out of your Rav4

Africa, the safest web region?

The migrant's dilemma

Randomized trials are so 1930s

Questionable parentage

How does the MPI measure up?

Counting desires

The burden of proof

The tricky ethics of education information, J-Pal edition

Be careful who you nudge

Do the MDGs influence national policy? Should they?

What lies beneath

When the best of aid becomes the worst

Learning from a Different Angle

Schrödinger's cat and the fall of African poverty

Off to Dar es Salaam

A Short Post about Violence

To smile or not to smile

Perfectly prescient economics

Tips for field work: don't freak out your sample

J-PAL's Christmas shopping list

Will climate change really lead to more civil war?

The missing middle

Book recommendations: Tanzania

The dangers of hot issues

To Find Certainty upon the Dreaming Air

Academic sins

Unlikely enumeration

A question for the health bloggers

Sine qua non

If only you knew the power of nagging